Human Exposure to Extreme Heat

Population experiencing 95°F (35°C) average maximum temperatures
2000
2000 · ~200M exposed 2050 · 1.6B exposed 2075 · 2.2B exposed 2100 · 3.9B exposed
The largest heat exposure in human history is unfolding. In 2000, roughly 200 million people lived in cities that experienced at least one month of 95°F+ (35°C) heat. By 2050, that number reaches 1.6 billion across ~970 cities. By 2075, 2.2 billion — and by 2100, up to 3.9 billion people will face these conditions annually. Nearly 1 billion will endure six months or more — transforming extreme heat from a weather event into a permanent season. The escalation is driven by three compounding forces: population growth concentrated in the hottest regions, accelerating urbanization intensifying heat-island effects, and climate forcing adding up to 4.7°C of warming under high-emission pathways. South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa bear the heaviest burden, but no continent is untouched. This dashboard simulates that trajectory, year by year, from 2000 to 2100.
Total Exposed Population
200M
0.7% of global pop.
Hottest Region
South Asia
60M exposed
3–6 Month Exposure
3–5 months per year
6+ Month Exposure
Desert-level heat season
Cities Affected
~200
with 3+ months 95°F+
Global Extreme Heat Exposure
Loading world map…
Population Exposed (millions)
010501005001,000+
The Escalation Curve · Global Population Exposed
Regional Breakdown · Exposure by Region
Duration Band Distribution · How Many Months?
Population Growth vs Heat Exposure · 2000=100 Index
Sources: C40 Future We Don't Want · CMIP6 · IPCC AR6 · SSP2/SSP3 pathways Method: Cubic Hermite spline interpolation through 4 anchor points (2000/2050/2075/2100) with regional population-weighted country distribution Threshold: 95°F (35°C) average maximum temperature for at least 1 month Build: D3.js · Chart.js · TopoJSON